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So, without further ado, the report recommends that the Bakerloo line should be extended from Elephant & Castle to Lewisham via the Old Kent Road and suggests an opening date of 2030.
For our purposes it is easier to give the main conclusion of the report and then look at how it arrived at it, rather than the reverse.It is unfortunate that despite our best intentions and revised plans, events have conspired against us and we have not yet managed to report on the latest Crossrail 2 consultation (which expires on 8th January 2016).Had we have done so, one of the messages we would have got across is Crossrail 2 is not just about transport. Crossrail 2 is largely about housing in the South East of England.Once one accepts this criterion then a lot of other decisions fall into place.Many different options and their combinations were considered.The answer to this is made clear in the report and, perhaps unsurprisingly, it follows one of our Editor John Bull’s favourite maxims – you build the railway you can pay for, not the best one you can plan.
Here, that means the Bakerloo Line Extension has to be mostly self-financing through much-needed housing development.One option went directly via the Old Kent Road and New Cross Gate, the other would have served the historical favourite of extending to Camberwell before heading Eastward to New Cross Gate. The area around the proposed two Old Kent Road stations is ripe for redevelopment and a line down the Old Kent Road to Lewisham could support 20,000 to 30,000 new homes.By way of contrast housing along the route via Camberwell is already established and going to Lewisham via this route would only provide around 5,000 – 10,000 new homes.The idea of railway lines being extended always attracts interest and, as far as the Tube goes, the Bakerloo line is perhaps the only one left with a possibility of being extended.To that end we now look in detail at the latest consultation report on proposals to extend the Bakerloo line.The report provides other reasons for rejecting a route via Camberwell.